Congratulations to Arsenal after comprehensively putting Manchester City to the sword with a 3-0 win. Getting a win against your rivals at this early stage of the season is always good for the feel-good factor but does it have much relevance on the actual Premier League season? If you win this trophy does it usually spur you on to greater things?
I had a quick look at the fate of the winners of the Community, or Charity shield as it was once known to see if there were any patterns.
2014 – Arsenal – Finished ?
2013 – Man Utd – Finished 7th
2012 – Man City – Finished 2nd
2011 – Man Utd Finished 2nd
2010 – Man Utd – Finished 1st
2009 – Chelsea – Finished 1st
2008 – Man Utd – Finished 1st
2007 – Man Utd – Finished 1st
2006 – Liverpool – Finished 3rd
2005 – Chelsea – Finished 1st
2004 – Arsenal – Finished 2nd
It certainly looks positive if you are an Arsenal fan. Based on this, a top 4 finish is almost guaranteed with Man Utd last season the only winners not to go on and finish in the top 4 and most will admit that last season was quite a “freak” one by Manchester United’s standards.
In the past 10 seasons, the team that wins the Community Shield has finished in the top 2 places in 8 of the seasons. This could mean Arsenal are set for their highest finish since 2005.
The community shield winners have gone on to win the Premier League in 5 of the last 10 seasons which might make the 7.4 available on Arsenal look enticing for some.
On the flipside, it is interesting to look at the fate of the losers of this match. Is this a sign of things to come for them?
2014- Man City – Finished ?
2013 – Wigan – Finished 5th In The Championship
2012 – Chelsea – Finished 3rd
2011 – Man City – Finished 1st
2010 – Chelsea – Finished 2nd
2009 – Man Utd – Finished 2nd
2008 – Portsmouth – Finished 14th
2007 – Chelsea – Finished 2nd
2006 – Chelsea – Finished 2nd
2005 – Arsenal – Finished 4th
2004 – Man Utd – Finished 3rd
Based on this you can pretty much write off Manchester City’s title hopes already. In the past ten seasons, only one team has lost the community shield match and then gone on to win the Premier League. That being said, it was Man City who were the team to do it!
If you fancy laying City this season then you can get lay @ 3.75.
Whether or not we can really read that much into the fate of this sort of match is another debate for another day but the fate of the losers of this match is very interesting. Only time will tell!