/ / Should Betfair Traders Worry About Match Fixing?

Should Betfair Traders Worry About Match Fixing?

 Match-fixingMatch fixing in football has been in the news recently as you may have noticed. It is much more significant then usual due to the fact that this is happening on home soil and that matches at levels as high as The Championship might have been influenced in some way.

This has led to quite a fair bit of over reaction by those who have not actually read into the details of the story.

The main thing to take into account is that this is actually spot fixing rather then match fixing. So far it seems like it is just players fixing yellow cards which does not really influence the overall result of the match. Unless you punt on the “Shown a card” market then this should not really affect you in any way.

We will see what develops with the story but there is quite a lot of what I have read that does not make total sense. It is pretty hard to find a market for a player to be booked in a lower league match and certainly hard to find one that would accept over 4 or even 5 figures. You could argue that these bets were being placed in Asia where you can easily get bigger sums on an event but even in Asia it is doubtful. An Asian bookmaker, legal or not, would have to be pretty dumb to want to accept a £50k+ bet on Joe Bloggs who plays in League 2 getting a Yellow card.

The whole thing is quite strange but it is not something that many Betfair traders should be worried about. There have been plenty of conspiracy theories down the years about certain matches being fixed but the reality is that, certainly at the highest level, it is something that is very hard to pull off.

To fix the result of a match you would need several players to all be in on it and while there are some players that might need the money you can trust that the majority do not.

Spot fixing is another kettle of fish and something that can easily be fixed but these will usually be only things that can not affect the result. If you are sensible you should not be getting involved in such markets unless you had inside information anyway.

If you stick to the highest level of any sport you punt on you do also lower your chances of any corruption. At the highest level, it is much less likely you will find players who need the money to such an extent that they will cheat to get it. The other main reason you should only punt on the highest level of any sport is the consistency of the players. This is much better from a punting perspective and you should only really be punting on the lower levels if you have inside information.

To sum up, unless something comes out where we discover a match result or a total number of goals has been fixed in a top level match then there really should be nothing to worry about from a Betfair trading perspective.

I would not want to be in the shoes of the players involving in the spot fixing though!

 

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One Comment

  1. “The main thing to take into account is that this is actually spot fixing rather then match fixing. So far it seems like it is just players fixing yellow cards which does not really influence the overall result of the match. Unless you punt on the “Shown a card” market then this should not really affect you in any way.”

    Cards don’t really influence the result? A player doesn’t play differently on a yellow?

    “Spot fixing is another kettle of fish and something that can easily be fixed but these will usually be only things that can not affect the result. If you are sensible you should not be getting involved in such markets unless you had inside information anyway.”

    Spot-fixing and match-fixing are not mutually exclusive. The spot-fixing reportedly includes intentionally getting a red card, an event which – in one example occurred in the 50th minute – certainly will have an impact on the likely outcome.

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