In case you missed it this week, I have analysed the Premier League Winners, Top Goal scorer and the Relegation markets. So hopefully, there is enough food for thought for some people going into the coming season. Today, we are going to look at some more obscure season long markets to see if there is any value to be had.
Something that stands out to me is to Back Man Utd to be the Top Northwest club. You can get 1.80 on Betfair for this. The two main challengers in this market are Man City and Liverpool. My view is that the team that does finish above Man Utd will be the team that wins the Premier League. I can’t see Liverpool winning the Premier League, so it really is a question of whether you think Man City will finish above Man Utd? In the history of the Premier League, Man Utd have been the top North West club in all but one season (01-02) and Man City have NEVER finished above Man Utd since the Premier League was formed or since they were bought out in 2008. They have probably never been as strong as they currently are which is why the odds are so generous this season but either way it looks like a gift.
I also think there is a good price on Chelsea to be the top London Club @ 1.61. If you look at the Premier League since Abramovich took over Chelsea, Arsenal have only took this “title” once. That was in 2004 which was their invincible season. Chelsea have been the top London club every season since and there isn’t much argument against them doing so again this season. It finally looks like Fabregas is on his way out of the Emirates and possibly Nasri too. Even if they do hang on to Nasri, they still don’t have a squad strong enough to trouble Chelsea.
The most open of these markets is the Top Midlands Club market. Aston Villa are the favourites @ 2.20 and that looks like a good price to oppose. I am not convinced that Alex McLeish will be the right man for the job here. If they have a few bad results then the fans will really get on his back due to his Birmingham connections. I also think that Stoke and West Brom are under rated by the markets due to the fact they are quite unfashionable. Stoke are looking quite solid going into the new season and if they can score more goals from open play then they should easily finish in the top ten.
The liquidity in these markets isn’t too great on Betfair but most bookies do offer these markets too so be sure to check oddschecker.com for the best prices around if you fancy a punt!